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23 Feb 2009 |
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Tweet me!Our next stop in our NL West rundown of the top 5 stories in 2009 brings us to beer field and the Colorado Rockies.
2. Will the real Troy Tulowitzki please stand up? No one expected Tulo to be as good as he was so quickly in 2007. However, he did post a nearly identical .291/.359/.479 line that year as he did at Double-A in 2006, so maybe it shouldn't have been such a surprise. It appears that his doubles turned into home runs and the rest of his skills were almost exactly what you should have expected. In 2008, he actually improved his walk and strikeout rates, yet a drop in BABIP and power, due to either injuries or bad luck, ruined his season. I'd expect 2009 to look closer to 2007 than 2008, but I would not project a full rebound as I do think 2007 was a little over Tulo's head. Remember, until a short seven at-bat stint at Triple-A in 2008, he hadn't ever seen a pitch at the level. 3. Ubaldo Jimenez's chances of posting another sub-4.00 ERA. Ubaldo managed to post a 3.99 ERA
4. Who the heck starts in left and center field? Current depth charts show Ian Stewart, Seth Smith, Carlos Gonzalez, Dexter Fowler, Ryan Spilborghs, Scott Podsednik, and Matt Murton as contenders for at-bats in the outfield. Woah. Are they trying to compete with the Nationals here or something?! Last week, manager Clint Hurdle indicated that Seth Smith was the favorite to start in left field, while Ryan Spilborghs is being looked at as the lead off man, which suggests that he's the front-runner to start in center field. Ian Stewart would likely collect starts at third base when Atkins slides over to first to rest Helton, second base, and left field and should still receive 400 at-bats. Carlos Gonzalez and Fowler will likely begin the year in the minors, while Podsednik and Murton win bench jobs at best. Smith looks like a nice NL-Only sleeper who will contribute a little across the board, while Spilborghs is very similar and could provide even better value, especially if he hits lead off. 5. Who closes, Huston Street or Manny Corpas? Though nothing has been confirmed, it appears that Huston Street will open the season as the Rockies closer. He does remain a trade deadline candidate and that might cause him to lose his closer role, but besides that weighing on his prospects, he'll be undervalued. He battled through injuries last year as he saw his K/9 drop and BB/9 rise, but if healthy, should rebound. Though in looking at his history, it looks like his 2007 K/9 of 11.3 might be the outlier, but he's a good bet to get his BB/9 back under 3.00. Manny Corpas would probably do fine as the closer, but Street is the better pitcher and will not pitch himself out of the role.
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written by MikePodhorzer, February 24, 2009
Well Olin, the easy answer is to check out my projections on the premium side!
 Anyway, he's no longer even worth drafting as a starter in 12-team mixed leagues since back problems have sapped his power. He'll also probably be rested a lot with Atkins moving across the diamond and Stewart playing some 3rd. I wouldn't even consider Helton an NL-Only rebound sleeper type. His batting average will rebound somewhat though, as his .298 BABIP was easily the lowest of his career and well below his .340 career rate.
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Tags: top five stories colorado rockies chris iannetta troy tulowitzki ubaldo jimenez ian stewart seth smith carlos gonzalez dexter fowler ryan spilborghs scott podsednik matt murton huston street manny corpas
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