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01
Feb
2010
The 2010 Kickoff of the Fantasy Baseball Roundtable Is Here! PDF  | Print |  E-mail
Round Table
Written by Patrick DiCaprio   
At long last we debut the fourth year of the Fantasy Baseball Roundtable, wherein every week we poll a number of fantasy baseball sites on a given question and give you our responses. This year the participants include a Murderers' Row of fantasy analysis: The Hardball Times, Fantasy Phenoms, RotoAuthority, Razzball, Fantasy Baseball Geeks, New York Newsday (yes an actual newspaper), Advanced Fantasy Baseball and a cast of thousands. We lead off as we do every year with: What were your biggest mistakes in 2009? It appears that many of us made the same mistake last year. What was it? You will have to read on...

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Brett Greenfield -
Fantasy Phenoms 

My biggest fantasy mistakes were starting Ricky Nolasco, Grady Sizemore and Josh Hamilton every week of the season.  My first and second round picks and my #3 SP were guys I'd relied on heavily.

Sizemore and Hamilton got off to slow starts only to later reveal an injury.  By then, it was too late for some of my rotisserie statistics to make a comeback.  My batting average was dead last as each of these guys was batting below .250 for a while.  Neither produced much power or RBI, yet I couldn't bench them.  In the past, benching guys like this only resulted in a huge week of five homers and four steals on my bench.  I attempted to weather the storm and it came back to bite me.

Nolasco was similar, yet slightly different.  Sabermatric stats said he was extremely unlucky throughout the season in 2009, but somehow he remained the unluckiest pitcher for the entire season.  When you have a 5.06 ERA but your component ERA is 3.12 and your defense-independent ERA is 3.47, something is wrong.  So while Nolasco showed great ability and peripherals last year, he never made it come to fruition and my team's ERA and WHIP suffered.  Needless to say, his value hasn't gone down one bit considering his 5.06 ERA last year.  He's getting drafted right where he should be.

Those were my biggest fantasy mistakes in 2009 and heading into 2010 I wouldn't change a thing.

Tim Dierkes—
RotoAuthority.com 

One mistake I made in two leagues was to reach on catchers (Russell Martin in the 4th, Geovany Soto in the 5th).  Catching is an unreliable position year-to-year, and I'm considering treating it like closers and passing on the first tier.  Good catchers are harder to find off the waiver wire than closers, but there's still quality around the 10th round.

Another mistake was to assume I could pluck decent closers off the waiver wire in a hyper-competitive league.  I kept trading off good closers and wasn't able to replace those saves.  I am not going to draft closers early, but I won't be trading an entrenched one unless I have four or more rostered.

The last mistake I hope to avoid was drafting the best available on my board at a certain position because I felt I had to fill that position, even though I did not like the player.  I used pretty good picks on Chipper Jones and Jermaine Dye, picks I felt were uninspired.

Oh and I'll also ignore any negative reports on Albert Pujols, who I passed at #3 for Jose Reyes in one league.

Kevin O’Donnell Fantasy Baseball Geeks

Every season I go into my draft and I swear that I will "not pay for saves".  I then leave every time having done just the opposite.  2009 was no exception.  It is becoming a bit of a complex for me in fact.  The inevitable run begins and then I throw all sound judgment out the window in an effort to draft an often inferior or average pitcher who just happens to get saves.  I track this annually and torture myself looking at who I passed up when I selected my Closers.  Never again.  If I need to bring in Dr. Drew or whoever to ail my save addiction affliction I will.  Last season was a particular disaster.  David Aardsma, Andrew Bailey, Leo Nunez, JP Howell, and the list goes on and on of players that ended up with more saves than anyone could have predicted.  My vow for 2010 will be to resist the urge and wait.  Draft low end Closers followed by handcuffing players like Chris Perez, Takashi Saito, Mike Adams, and even dare I say LaTroy Hawkins.  Let's hope I stick to my resolution.

Patrick DiCaprio-FantasyPros911.com

No-brainer: picking Russell Martin in the Third Round of the NFBC Online Championship. Whoops. This was an example of getting caught up in the heat of the moment and sticking too rigidly to a draft strategy. My plan was to emphasize position scarcity and go strong up the middle. I was doing fine until the guy right before me took the player I have queued up: Brian McCann. Rather than shifting to a “best available” pick I stuck with my draft list and took the next catcher up on my list, Martin. You can bet I won’t make that same mistake this year.

Rudy Gamble-Razzball

I'm going to limit my response to fantasy baseball as I don't think anyone wants to hear about my ill-advised tramp stamp tattoo with Albert Pujols' face affixed to a dolphin.

My biggest mistakes centered around catchers and starting pitchers.  I felt there was a clear undervaluation of catchers in 2-catcher leagues and paid either good $ or used top-half draft picks on catchers.  While one Yahoo league's picks of McCann/Sandoval turned out pretty well, teams with Russ Martin, Geovany Soto, and Ryan Doumit suffered.  Not sure if this was a fluke year for catcher injuries/underperformance but I doubt I’ll be as bullish on catchers this year.  (Oh, one more fun point, I didn't take Mauer or V-Mart in any leagues because of injury concerns.)  Runner-up choice:  My decision to avoid certain pitchers I deemed as injury risks worked somewhat but it also meant I didn't get Greinke, Vazquez, or Lester on any teams.

What was your biggest mistake? Let us know with a comment below.

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Comments (16)Add Comment
...
written by Pat G, February 11, 2010
Chris Davis and David Ortiz in the first round of a 12-team league. 30-homer 3B and rebounding Big Papi seemed too good to pass up on. If it seems too good to be true...
My biggest mistake
written by Mark S, February 11, 2010
Chris Young, need I say more.
past cuts...
written by sedgwick slasher, February 04, 2010
i have also been known to draft great, have no patience and cut youth before they get the chance to heat up..some examples over the past few years would be....braun,hamilton and j.upton....also this was also a keeper league...never learn
bad trades
written by sedgwick slasher, February 04, 2010
moved the kung fu panda (pablo sandoval) for rickie weeks...weeks got hurt and sandoval started hitting homers had 3 ended up with 22 more....also traded slowey for magglio ordonez wasn't too bad when slowey got hurt but, i cut mags and he heated up at the end..one more traded cain for overrated/overpaid vernon wells..yuck!!.
Biggest mistake
written by Savoy, February 03, 2010
Trying to get cute in my draft and waiting until the end to grab saves. I drafted Chris Ray, JJ Putz, & Takashi Saito at the end of the draft with the thought that they would all get a share of saves or even take over as the primary closer on their team.
By the All-Star break, my team had to punt the saves category--although I did grab Mike MacDougal off waivers later in the season.
I HATE SAVES!
...
written by quimmy, February 03, 2010
Biggest mistake was taking Reyes #1 overall over Hanram. I shortly made up for it though by making a week 1 trade of Jose Reyes for Miggy Cabrera (2nd rd) and Robinson Cano (7th rd).
Mr. Cleaver
written by cleaver596, February 03, 2010
I think my biggest mistake was trading Aardsma for Peralta right after Aarsdma starting getting saves. I had 5 guys getting saves at the time, and I needed SS help. Well turns out Peralta sucked it up all year while Aardsma had an excellent season. Also, as soon as I traded Aardsma, two of my closers either lost their job or got hurt within 2 weeks. I went from 5 to 2 in a matter of weeks with a bad SS to boot. Not the best judgment on my part.
Oops
written by Walter Sobchak, February 03, 2010
I'll always remember 2009 as the year I bought into the Cameron Maybin hype. Or at least I'll try to always remember 2009 that way. But I cut ties with him, early, and not too much damage was done. Thank you, Marlins, for having the decency to send him down. Also, I picking him pissed off a number of nemesises (nemisi?) during the draft. So that was a win.

But it's too bad I didn't cut ties with Corey Hart sooner. I hung onto him until he went down with a hernia (or whatever). When a guy's been a keeper, it's so hard to say goodbye, boyz II men.
My Biggest Mistake
written by Dejong, February 03, 2010
My biggest mistake? I could say reaching for Alexi "The Cuban Missile" Ramirez in the 4th round, but that's too obvious, too stoopid to mention. I'll go with taking Dice-K over Justin Verlander/Chris Carpenter because of injury concerns and what seemed like a magicial World Baseball Classic from the master of the gyroball. Suffice it to say I was near the bottom of the league in ERA, WHIP and K's. 4th out of 10.
...
written by max, February 03, 2010
How has no one mentioned Liriano?
...
written by spike, February 03, 2010
12th and 13th pick in 5x5 roto league. selected Rollins and Hamilton . OUCH!!!
where to begin
written by Rick B, February 03, 2010
i had the worst draft of my career last year. I went against everything I knew. In my league we keep 5 and I had Halladay. I did not take another pitcher until the 100th (50th pick after keepers) pick and while I got Felix H, I missed out on a top closer. I was also severely bitten by the injury bug last year. At one point I had 15 players on the DL including Votto, berkman, reyes, and beltran. My bench could never make-up the offense.
Mine
written by freshprince07, February 02, 2010
Some of mine were drafting Russell Martin, Rafael Furcal, Vernon Wells, Carlos Delgado, Grady Sizemore etc. Biggest ones were Connor Jackson (damn that Valley Fever), Chris Young, and Chris Davis. I had a lot of teams but still.
My Biggest Mistake
written by Andrew34, February 02, 2010
Brandon Webb. He was my #1 starter. Big-time bust.
...
written by Scott G, February 02, 2010
My biggest mistake was jumping on the Wieters bandwagon in the 10th Rd. Traded too much SP in 2nd half to solidify my offence and my pitching faltered.
Biggest Mistakes?
written by Bootsy, February 01, 2010
NL only:
Friggin Conor Jackson (what is "Valley Fever," anyway?)
Bill Hall
Ian Snell
Willy Taveras
Todd Wellemeyer
Jeff Francouer (by the time he hit for the Mets, I was toast)
Mike Cameron
Ramon Hernandez and Russell Martin
Trading Kuroda and Jurrjens for Brandon Webb and Yunel Escobar
Paying a ton for Frankie Rodriguez

Finished 10th out of 12.

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