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Have we not learned anything from when everyone was drafting Jarrod Saltalamacchia early in 2008 drafts even though he didn't have a full-time job? I warned about him when I included him in my pre-season busts article and unfortunately for those owners taking the plunge, he did indeed disappoint. Why is Matt Wieters being drafted so early in non-keeper mock drafts?
Before I go any further, let's get one thing straight. I am not questioning Wieter's offensive potential. In fact, I love Wieters (who doesn't?), and that differs from the Salty situation because in his case, I questioned his future potential given his inconsistent minor league career. So Salty's actual hitting ability and playing time were issues. Wieters' playing time situation though is even murkier than Salty's. Did I miss the news that Ramon Hernandez was traded? I understand he's on the trading block, but so was Gerald Laird and he went nowhere. It's not even like fantasy owners are taking a shot with a late round pick on Wieters, which is a reasonable risk given his apparent vast potential. In a recent mock, he went in the 10th round, before Mike Napoli, Jorge Posada, and the always consistent Bengie Molina! That means Wieters not only has to win a full-time starting job, but he has to avoid becoming yet another rookie catcher bust that seems to occur far too often just to break even. In fact, these early picks of Wieters illustrate my previous article on reaching perfectly. It's more fun to reach for the hot shot rookie by drafting him early and end up being right so you could brag to everyone else how smart you were, but in terms of draft strategy, it's simply a poor one, especially when the player in question doesn't even have a full-time (or even part-time) job at this point.
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