Follow FantasyPros911 Here
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Join a FantasyPros911 league and play against some of the best fantasy players around
CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFO
Other Articles You Might Like
13 Jan 2009 |
|
Tweet me!| A Look at the Outfield Tiers using ADP.
Last week we took a quick look at the basics of the outfield pool. Using an ADP (Average Draft position) list we were able to determine the top 70 outfielders taken and we can start to prepare for our drafts by knowing who to target and when they should be normally be drafted. By doing this we were quickly were able to discover that we knew some names of outfielders that weren’t being drafted in the top 70 showing us that the outfield position is really not as scarce as many believe. Finally, if you did the homework (posted and read the comments), you discovered that there are some names here of players we probably don’t want to take. This week we are going to set up some tiers using ADP. Using that same list of top 70 outfielders from the ADP list we can now begin to examine it more closely, break it down and begin to examine some trends and players. Assuming a 12 team league we can break it down as follows. Tier 1 – First Round  Based on ADP there are only three potential outfielders to draft in Round 1. They are Grady Sizemore (7), Josh Hamilton (9), and Ryan Braun (11). Of these, most would actually rank them Sizemore, Braun, Hamilton due mostly to the fact that Hamilton wore down near the end of the season last year and had injury problems the year before. The important thing to note about your first few picks is that you don’t want to be the owner that drafted the player that got injured or didn’t perform as expected. Your first few picks are normally what you will base many of your lower round picks on so you want your first few picks to be as risk free as possible. That is why most experts will tell you to pick players that will perform well above average in as many categories as possible in your first few picks. You will then base your end draft filling in the gaps. Back to our outfielders, if you get the opportunity to draft a top one make sure he will be a quality anchor to your team all season long. This is why I would let someone else take Hamilton in the first round. Tier 2 - Second and Third Rounds Matt Holliday (13), B.J. Upton (17), Manny Ramirez (20), Alfonso Soriano (21), Carlos Beltran (22), Ichiro Suzuki (23), Carlos Lee (25), Carl Crawford (29), Nick Markakis (33), Jason Bay (34), and Carlos Quentin (36). The same rule that applies to tier one applies here. You want quality players that will perform at or above expectations. If you read my previous article “Manny being Manny” you know my opinion on what to expect by selecting him. Last year Holliday was a first round pick, but his move to Oakland has him falling down draft boards. This is a complete contrast to Bay whose new home in Boston has the Fenway faithful raising his value. Quentin’s value has skyrocketed ba  sed on his near MVP season last year. Depending on my overall draft strategy, I would be happy to have at least one outfielder on my team by the end of these rounds. 14 outfielders have been taken by the end of round 3.Tier 3 - Fourth thru Sixth Rounds Alex Rios (39), Vladimir Guerrero (40), Matt Kemp (42), Curtis Granderson (47), Shane Victorino (50), Magglio Ordonez (53), Corey Hart (56), Nate McLouth (58), Bobby Abreu (61), Adam Dunn (62), and Jacoby Ellsbury (73) Here you begin to see the separation from the stars of the Outfield in the first two tiers to the aging veterans and potential superstars in the next two tiers. A lot of potential speed is being taken in names like Kemp, Granderson, Victorino, Hart, McLouth, Abreu and Ellsbury. An interesting question to ponder: do you make your first two outfielders balanced, one for speed and one for power? These are the interesting trends you may pick up by going through an exercise like this and why so many experienced fantasy players will take the time to do this. The Pool Continues Next week, as we continue Roaming the Outfield, I will run down the later rounds. Right now, the outfield player pool is in a state of flux and we are much better off just making sure we are aware of the players in motion and are able to identify the openings and players that exist. Some quick items to note: • The San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants Outfielders are not represented by any player in the top 70 ADP • The Atlanta Braves, Chicago Cubs , Colorado Rockies Pittsburgh Pirates, Seattle Mariners and Washington Nationals only have one player in the top 70 ADP. • At the time of the most recent ADPs there were six players in the top 70 that didn’t have a home yet (Manny Ramirez, Bobby Abreu, Adam Dunn, Milton Bradley, Pat Burrell and Andruw Jones) In the meantime, leave us comments of whom you feel is most out of whack on this week’s tier list based on ADP. If you want to see how the FantasyPros911.com experts tier the Outfielders and all the other positions check out the FantasyPros911.com Draft Guide .
Set as favorite
Bookmark
Email this
Hits: 2993 Trackback(0)
Comments (4)
  written by a guest, January 15, 2009
the tiers are based strictly on the Average draft position as of 12/31/2009 when I set up the initial list top 70 OF being taken. If you feel Holliday should go early then thats something to note. By looking at the ADP closer to your actual draft time you will realize that "Hey I want holiday but hes not going until round three so i should easily be able to grab him in round two"
written by yankeesforever, January 15, 2009
how is Matt Holliday not in the top tier? I think Hamilton should be switched with Holliday. Should be Sizemore,Braun, Holliday
written by JoeLano, January 14, 2009
It will be interesting to see where these unsigned free agent outfielders end up and how, or if it effects their ADP.
Do you think a player like Abreu, who has streaks of 7 straight 100 RBI seasons and 11 straight 20 SB seasons, would see a rise in his ADP if he signs with a good club like the Mets or Dodgers?
Write comment
Tags: Fantasy Baseball ADP Average Draft Position Outfield Tier Grady Sizemore Josh Hamilton Ryan Braun Matt Holliday B.J. Upton Manny Ramirez Alfonso Soriano Carlos Beltran Ichiro Suzuki Carlos Lee Carl Crawford Nick Markakis Jason Bay Carlos Quentin Alex Rios Vladimir Guerrero Matt Kemp Curtis Granderson Shane Victorino Magglio Ordonez Corey Hart Nate McLouth Bobby Abreu Adam Dunn Jacoby Ellsbury Hunter Pence Ryan Ludwick Jermaine Dye Chris Young Vernon Wells Jay Bruce Torii Hunter Johnny Damon Raul Ibanez Andre Ethier Eric Byrnes Hideki Matsui Brad Hawpe Lastings Milledge Xavier Nady Nick Swisher Milton Bradley Jayson Werth Nelson Cruz Jeremy Hermida Pat Burrell Denard Span Adam Jones Conor Jackson Willy Taveras Luke Scott Justin Upton Ryan Church Adam Lind David Murphy Delmon Young Andruw Jones Juan Pierre Matt LaPorta Jack Cust Coco Crisp Jose Guillen Cameron Maybin Rick Ankiel J.D. Drew Jeff Francoeur David DeJesus Carlos Gomez Shin-Soo Choo Michael Cuddyer
|
TrackBack URI for this entry
Subscribe to this comment's feed
More articles :